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Taking profits on Deli Solar (DLSL.OB)

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The incredible rise might not be over in Deli Solar (DLSL.OB), but the risk profile shifted significantly yesterday when the company disclosed in an 8-K filing that three directors quit on March 9, 2007 “to pursue other interests.”

That may be accurate, but it certainly sounds suspect. After all, serving as a director for a single microcap company usually only involves a couple board meetings per year — hardly something that would preclude “other interests.”

Given that the stock is up over 150% since the first of the year, and just under 100% since I opened a position exactly one month ago, I’m not going to wait until further information is revealed. I closed my entire position in Deli Solar and will now look to reposition those funds in a stock that did not suddenly lose the majority of its directors to “other interests.”

DISCLOSURE: I have no position in DLSL.OB. Not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. For informational and educational purposes only.

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Quick Hits (LTFD.OB, AVCA, DLSL.OB, NTWK)


A few quick hits before I depart for a well-needed vacation:

  • A reporter asked me the other day if I thought PIPE deals were universally bad for shareholders. I responded that I did not, although at the time I couldn’t recall an example of the type of deal I think is beneficial. Here’s one: my favorite aging society play, bingo hall operator Littlefield Corp. (LTFD.OB) announced that Value Fund Advisors LLC agreed to buy 400,000 shares in a PIPE deal at 15% above market prices. The institution also agreed to purchase an additional 100,000 shares in the following 3 months on the open market. Those kind of “positive PIPE” deals are fairly rare; I recall one a while ago with Crystallex (KRY).
  • Investors took Advocat, Inc. (AVCA) to the woodshed after the nursing home operator said earnings would drop from about $3.35 last year to breakeven. The company said that “projected increases in reimbursement rates are insufficient to offset projected increases in rent expense (including cash and noncash rent) and operating costs, including market-driven increases in employee salaries and benefits costs.” There were red flags–as discussed here, fundamental trends clearly began to deteriorate last quarter.
  • I’m digging the action in Deli Solar (DLSL.OB), up over 60% since I bought it only two weeks ago. Now if only my other stocks could behave so generously…
  • NetSol’s (NTWK) second fiscal quarter 2007 earnings were mediocre but guidance was strong, and the company continues to report important new contracts in Australia and China.

Hopefully I will return tanned, rested and ready with some great new ideas to discuss.

DISCLOSURE: I am long DLSL.OB, LTFD.OB, KRY and NTWK. I have no position in AVCA. Not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. For informational and educational purposes only.

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Taking a bite out of Deli Solar (DLSL.OB)

Chinese solar companies are hot. It seems that every week a new solar equipment IPO raises several hundred million dollars or more, largely spurred by government incentives in the PRC and some European countries. There are a number of microcaps in this industry. After initial review, I bought shares in one of them yesterday, Deli Solar (DLSL.OB).

Look past the funny name. Deli Solar makes solar-powered water heaters and a range of coal and alternative-energy fired boilers, not pastrami on rye. Deli Solar primarily sells into rural Chinese markets, where basic electrical and gas utilities are often unreliable if available at all. It sells through a network of 585 distributors and 2000 retailers in 27 Chinese provinces. The Company says that new laws encourage sales and give it tax incentives:

The National People’s Congress, the equivalent of the parliament of the PRC, passed the China Renewable Energy Act, effective January 1, 2006. This law creates new opportunities for the growth of the solar power industry in that it promotes the installation of both solar hot water and space heating systems, the integration of these systems into new construction, the application of solar energy in rural China and affords certain financial incentives to these projects. The National Development and Reform Commission will develop a data base of renewable resources energy projects that are supported by the government. If a company’s project is on this list, it can apply for preferential treatment including loan and tax incentives. The Chinese Government hopes that this law will boost the renewable energy sector’s share from negligible to about 10 % of total energy supplied. Deli Solar, which focuses on the development and commercialization of renewable energy resources, will be important to China’s future economic growth.

Deli is profitable. Last quarter it earned $.07 per share (fully diluted) on $6.56M in revenues. Annualized, that would be $.28 on approximately $26M in revenues, giving the company a P/E ratio on the run rate of under 5, and a P/S of under 0.5.

The numbers get even more amazing when you consider the cash on the balance sheet. At the end of last quarter, Deli had almost $4.6M in cash and no debt, or almost $.60 per fully-diluted share.
approximately 6.2 million common shares and 1.8 million warrants outstanding.

There are a few caveats. The company’s tax rate will increase in the coming year as a 100% exemption is scaled back to 50%. The exemption will remain at 50% through 2010, when it expires. The company is also growing rapidly (including building two major production lines). A failure to execute could be costly. Also, Deli Solar has entered into Memoranda of Understanding to purchase two other Chinese companies. These acquisitions, if completed, would utilize much of the company’s cash hoard. I don’t know whether the targets are currently profitable, or whether the proposed acquisitions would be accretive or dilutive to Deli Solar shareholders. More information is available in the latest 10-QSB.

DISCLOSURE: I am long DLSL.OB. I am short various other midcap and largecap Chinese solar companies. Not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. For informational and educational purposes only.

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