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If the Fed is printing money, I’m buying junior gold miners (UXG GSS NGD BAA)
Topics: macro, news and views, trade ideasIn the back of our minds, we all knew Helicopter Ben Bernanke would eventually begin to monetize debt. I just thought he would do it slowly and quietly.
I was wrong. In a tribute to Johannes Gutenberg, Bernanke announced that the Fed would print money to buy Treasuries. Its also ramping the presses to fund purchases of distressed RMBS and agency securities.
This could be a watershed event. And not just for the U.S. When the world’s largest fiat currency joins the race for competitive devaluation, other nations will also be encouraged to print more money.
Equities were up on the news, but the real moves were in commodity, currency and Treasury markets. For my purposes, the most important of these markets is gold. Gold was off more than 2% in the morning, but spiked up on the Fed announcement to close up over 4%.

Get trend analysis for GLD from Ino.com
There is a good chance that today’s move was the beginning of another up leg for gold. I expect new highs for the metal before year end.
I bought junior mining shares hand-over-fist today, in part because I had sold off much of my position a few weeks ago, but mostly because over the next few weeks I want to have as much exposure to gold as possible.
Here are the junior gold mining stocks that I bought today:
U.S. Gold (Amex:UXG)

Get trend analysis for UXG from Ino.com
New Gold (Amex:NGD)

Get trend analysis for NGD from Ino.com
Golden Star Resources (Amex:GSS)

Get trend analysis for GSS from Ino.com
Banro Corp. (Amex:BAA)

Get trend analysis for BAA from Ino.com
With the exception of GSS, I bought these shares after the Fed announcement so I largely missed this morning’s rock-bottom prices. But now is not a time to focus on pennies. With gold itself moving so violently to the upside, and being within 20% of all-time highs, I’m looking for large moves in junior miners. As an added bonus, these stocks are currently hated. Last week’s Barron’s, for example, identified Golden Star Resources (GSS) as the most-heavily shorted stock on the American Stock Exchange.
Bottom line: Unless gold drops sharply, the junior miners should have much further to run. If gold breaks to new highs — a distinct possibility in coming months — I think many juniors will see 200-400% appreciation.
DISCLOSURE: Long UXG, GSS, NGD, BAA.

Nice call on these. I liked NGD because of the volume and recent history at higher prices.
I hesitated on the pullaback this morning around $1.90 and then didn’t want to chase.
I think this will be an easy move from there to at least $2.50, where there seems to be some resistance. Looks like it closed at $2.12.
Oh well, need to be not so trigger shy next time.
Thanks Charlie. I certainly missed a number of good entries too. It happens. Hopefully the rally is just beginning and there will be plenty of opportunities to get in.